Russia nuclear test by...?

Politics Jupiter Ends Mar 31, 2026 11 days left
Active
Total Volume
$1.2M
Outcomes
3
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by Russia that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield. Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this...

All Outcomes

Outcome Yes No Volume
March 31, 2026 1.4% 99.0% $1
November 30 0.0% 0.0% $0
December 31 0.0% 0.0% $0

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