Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

February 28, 2026

Politics Jupiter Ends Mar 31, 2026 11 days left
Resolved
Yes
100.0%
$1.0000
No
100.0%
$1.0000
Event Volume
$1.6M
Resolution
No
Outcomes in Event
5
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas officially announces it will disarm in the Gaza Strip by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only credible announcements, for example by the widely acknowledged leadership of Hamas, will qualify. For the purposes of this market, "disarm" refers to a public commitment to relinquish or dismantle its military, whether partially or completely, in the Gaza Strip. Announcements of partial disarmament (e.g., surrende...

Other Outcomes: Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

View All Outcomes

This event has 5 possible outcomes. See event page →

June 30, 2026
21.0%
March 31, 2026
2.1%
December 31
0.0%
November 30
0.0%

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