Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

March 31, 2026

Politics Jupiter Ends Mar 31, 2026 12 days left
Active
Yes
2.1%
$0.0210
No
98.3%
$0.9830
Event Volume
$1.6M
Outcomes in Event
5
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas officially announces it will disarm in the Gaza Strip by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only credible announcements, for example by the widely acknowledged leadership of Hamas, will qualify. For the purposes of this market, "disarm" refers to a public commitment to relinquish or dismantle its military, whether partially or completely, in the Gaza Strip. Announcements of partial disarmament (e.g., surrenderin...

Other Outcomes: Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

View All Outcomes

This event has 5 possible outcomes. See event page →

February 28, 2026
100.0%
June 30, 2026
21.0%
December 31
0.0%
November 30
0.0%

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