Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

June 30, 2026

Politics Jupiter Ends Jun 30, 2026 45 days left
Active
Yes
24.0%
$0.2400
No
77.0%
$0.7700
Event Volume
$1.6M
Outcomes in Event
5
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas officially announces it will disarm in the Gaza Strip by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only credible announcements, for example by the widely acknowledged leadership of Hamas, will qualify. For the purposes of this market, "disarm" refers to a public commitment to relinquish or dismantle its military, whether partially or completely, in the Gaza Strip. Announcements of partial disarmament (e.g., surrendering...

Other Outcomes: Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

View All Outcomes

This event has 5 possible outcomes. See event page →

February 28, 2026
100.0%
March 31, 2026
1.8%
December 31
0.0%
November 30
0.0%

More Politics Events

Event Volume Ends
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 $938.3M Nov 07, 2028