Total Volume
$1.6M
Outcomes
5
Resolution
No
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas officially announces it will disarm in the Gaza Strip by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only credible announcements, for example by the widely acknowledged leadership of Hamas, will qualify. For the purposes of this market, "disarm" refers to a public commitment to relinquish or dismantle its military, whether partially or completely, in the Gaza Strip. Announcements of partial disarmament (e.g., surrende...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| February 28, 2026 | 100.0% | 100.0% | $0 |
| June 30, 2026 | 24.0% | 77.0% | $0 |
| March 31, 2026 | 1.8% | 99.2% | $0 |
| December 31 | 0.0% | 0.0% | $1 |
| November 30 | 0.0% | 0.0% | $0 |
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