Total Volume
$1.6M
Outcomes
5
Resolution
No
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas officially announces it will disarm in the Gaza Strip by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only credible announcements, for example by the widely acknowledged leadership of Hamas, will qualify. For the purposes of this market, "disarm" refers to a public commitment to relinquish or dismantle its military, whether partially or completely, in the Gaza Strip. Announcements of partial disarmament (e.g., surrende...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| February 28, 2026 | 100.0% | 100.0% | $0 |
| June 30, 2026 | 21.0% | 80.0% | $0 |
| March 31, 2026 | 2.1% | 98.3% | $0 |
| December 31 | 0.0% | 0.0% | $1 |
| November 30 | 0.0% | 0.0% | $0 |
More Politics Events
| Event | Outcomes | Volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | 44 | $860.4M | Nov 07, 2028 |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | 34 | $434.5M | Nov 07, 2028 |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | 35 | $426.4M | Nov 07, 2028 |
| Venezuela leader end of 2026? | 16 | $71.9M | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | 4 | $41.0M | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | 1 | $39.2M | Mar 31, 2026 |