Climate & science Prediction Markets

Trade outcomes on Jupiter prediction markets. Buy Yes or No shares on real-world events.

Active Events
132
With 1093 outcomes
Total Volume
$16.5M
Across all events
Resolved
85
Settled outcomes
Categories
11
Market topics

Climate & science Active Prediction Markets

Event Category Yes No Volume Ends
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? (9 outcomes) Climate & science 98.5% 2.1% $7.5M Dec 31, 2026
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026? (7 outcomes) Climate & science 29.0% 72.0% $1.1M Dec 31, 2026
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026? (6 outcomes) Climate & science 46.0% 61.0% $665.9K Dec 31, 2026
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Climate & science 5.5% 94.7% $522.9K Dec 31, 2026
Measles cases in U.S. by March 31? (9 outcomes) Climate & science 1.3% 99.0% $386.2K Mar 31, 2026
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? (8 outcomes) Climate & science 42.0% 70.0% $347.6K Dec 31, 2026
3rd richest person on March 31? (10 outcomes) Climate & science 44.0% 63.0% $327.5K Mar 31, 2026
Precipitation in Seattle in March? (7 outcomes) Climate & science 4.8% 97.5% $320.5K Mar 31, 2026
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Climate & science 40.0% 62.0% $309.0K Dec 31, 2026
2nd richest person on March 31? (10 outcomes) Climate & science 98.9% 4.3% $292.9K Mar 31, 2026
5kt meteor strike in 2026? Climate & science 46.0% 61.0% $275.5K Dec 31, 2026
2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record? (4 outcomes) Climate & science 98.5% 2.5% $269.8K Apr 10, 2026
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on March 30? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 99.8% 0.4% $232.2K Mar 30, 2026
New COVID variant of concern before 2027? Climate & science 14.0% 89.0% $228.8K Dec 31, 2026
March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (6 outcomes) Climate & science 41.0% 62.0% $207.6K Apr 10, 2026
New pandemic in 2026? Climate & science 13.0% 89.0% $195.8K Dec 31, 2026
Natural Disaster in 2026? Climate & science 30.0% 71.0% $188.9K Dec 31, 2026
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 30? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 99.0% 2.1% $188.5K Mar 30, 2026
Precipitation in NYC in March? (6 outcomes) Climate & science 9.0% 94.5% $172.0K Mar 31, 2026
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Climate & science 14.0% 88.0% $167.5K Dec 31, 2026
Highest temperature in Tokyo on March 30? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 100.0% 0.1% $159.2K Mar 30, 2026
How many Tornadoes in the US in March? (5 outcomes) Climate & science 99.6% 0.5% $158.0K Apr 10, 2026
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Climate & science 18.0% 83.0% $138.9K Dec 31, 2026
Highest temperature in NYC on March 31? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 49.0% 54.0% $128.5K Mar 31, 2026
Highest temperature in Beijing on March 30? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 99.9% 0.5% $125.3K Mar 30, 2026
Highest temperature in Wellington on March 30? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 100.0% 0.1% $118.6K Mar 30, 2026
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Climate & science 14.0% 88.0% $112.6K Dec 31, 2026
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? Climate & science 74.0% 28.0% $107.8K Jan 10, 2027
Highest temperature in London on March 30? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 76.0% 29.0% $104.6K Mar 30, 2026
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? Climate & science 6.7% 96.9% $101.8K Dec 31, 2026
Highest temperature in Ankara on March 30? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 55.0% 53.0% $95.5K Mar 30, 2026
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31? Climate & science 35.0% 70.0% $94.9K Dec 31, 2026
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 30? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 91.9% 15.3% $93.0K Mar 30, 2026
Highest temperature in Paris on March 30? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 69.0% 32.0% $82.7K Mar 30, 2026
Highest temperature in Singapore on March 30? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 99.8% 0.3% $77.6K Mar 30, 2026
Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 30? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 99.8% 0.3% $70.4K Mar 30, 2026
Highest temperature in NYC on March 30? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 66.0% 36.0% $57.8K Mar 30, 2026
Highest temperature in Toronto on March 30? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 95.0% 6.0% $46.4K Mar 30, 2026
Highest temperature in Chengdu on March 30? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 99.8% 0.5% $46.3K Mar 30, 2026
Nipah virus in US by March 31? Climate & science 0.6% 99.8% $45.4K Mar 31, 2026
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 30? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 97.0% 5.0% $41.4K Mar 30, 2026
Highest temperature in Madrid on March 30? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 53.9% 55.9% $40.3K Mar 30, 2026
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? Climate & science 12.0% 89.0% $37.7K Mar 31, 2027
Will a hurricane form by May 31? Climate & science 7.0% 93.2% $35.9K May 31, 2026
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 1? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 31.0% 72.0% $32.4K Apr 01, 2026
Precipitation in Seoul in March? (8 outcomes) Climate & science 21.0% 98.0% $32.3K Mar 31, 2026
Highest temperature in London on April 2? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 38.0% 63.0% $29.5K Apr 02, 2026
Measles cases in U.S. by April 30? (5 outcomes) Climate & science 91.0% 13.0% $29.4K Apr 30, 2026
Highest temperature in Munich on March 30? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 63.0% 53.0% $27.6K Mar 30, 2026
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...? (3 outcomes) Climate & science 95.7% 7.7% $26.2K May 31, 2026
How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026? (8 outcomes) Climate & science 45.0% 63.0% $26.1K Jan 10, 2027
3rd richest person on December 31? (10 outcomes) Climate & science 39.0% 88.0% $21.7K Dec 31, 2026
Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 30? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 60.0% 43.0% $21.5K Mar 30, 2026
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 1? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 38.0% 63.0% $21.5K Apr 01, 2026
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 1? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 26.0% 82.0% $21.0K Apr 01, 2026
Highest temperature in Dallas on March 30? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 40.0% 62.0% $16.7K Mar 30, 2026
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 1? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 29.0% 74.0% $13.4K Apr 01, 2026
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 2? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 25.0% 76.0% $13.2K Apr 02, 2026
Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 30? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 31.0% 75.0% $12.5K Mar 30, 2026
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31? Climate & science 8.2% 94.5% $10.8K May 31, 2026
Highest temperature in Istanbul on March 30? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 83.0% 29.0% $10.6K Mar 30, 2026
Highest temperature in Denver on March 30? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 41.0% 72.0% $9.6K Mar 30, 2026
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? Climate & science 9.6% 93.5% $7.8K Dec 31, 2026
Highest temperature in Austin on March 30? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 47.0% 55.0% $7.7K Mar 30, 2026
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026? (6 outcomes) Climate & science 96.0% 5.0% $7.4K Apr 03, 2026
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 2? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 90.0% 13.0% $6.5K Apr 02, 2026
100kt meteor strike in 2026? Climate & science 8.0% 92.8% $6.3K Dec 31, 2026
2nd richest person on December 31? (10 outcomes) Climate & science 22.0% 95.0% $5.8K Mar 31, 2026
Highest temperature in Munich on April 1? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 36.0% 65.0% $4.4K Apr 01, 2026
Highest temperature in Mexico City on March 30? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 64.0% 61.0% $4.4K Mar 30, 2026
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 1? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 47.0% 61.0% $3.9K Apr 01, 2026
Highest temperature in NYC on April 1? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 31.0% 74.0% $3.5K Apr 01, 2026
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 4? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 27.0% 93.0% $3.4K Apr 04, 2026
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 1? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 55.0% 62.0% $3.2K Apr 01, 2026
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 2? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 57.0% 59.0% $3.0K Apr 02, 2026
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 2? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 25.0% 78.0% $2.7K Apr 02, 2026
Highest temperature in Houston on April 1? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 39.0% 72.0% $2.7K Apr 01, 2026
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 1? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 41.0% 63.0% $2.5K Apr 01, 2026
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 3? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 84.0% 19.0% $2.5K Apr 03, 2026
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 1? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 37.0% 64.0% $2.3K Apr 01, 2026
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 1? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 76.0% 25.0% $2.2K Apr 01, 2026
Highest temperature in London on April 3? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 31.0% 73.0% $2.1K Apr 03, 2026
Highest temperature in Milan on April 1? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 38.0% 66.0% $1.9K Apr 01, 2026
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 3? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 24.0% 77.0% $1.9K Apr 03, 2026
Highest temperature in Austin on April 2? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 54.0% 74.0% $1.7K Apr 02, 2026
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 3? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 44.0% 57.0% $1.6K Apr 03, 2026
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 1? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 37.0% 79.0% $1.6K Apr 01, 2026
Highest temperature in NYC on April 3? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 39.0% 62.0% $1.4K Apr 03, 2026
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 4? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 57.0% 57.0% $1.3K Apr 04, 2026
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 2? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 32.0% 69.0% $1.2K Apr 02, 2026
Highest temperature in Miami on April 2? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 41.0% 72.0% $1.2K Apr 02, 2026
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 2? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 32.0% 73.0% $1.2K Apr 02, 2026
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 1? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 35.0% 82.0% $1.2K Apr 01, 2026
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 4? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 32.0% 88.0% $1.1K Apr 04, 2026
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 3? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 42.0% 86.0% $1.1K Apr 03, 2026
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 2? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 32.0% 84.0% $1.1K Apr 02, 2026
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 2? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 80.0% 60.0% $1.1K Apr 02, 2026
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 3? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 32.0% 83.0% $1.1K Apr 03, 2026
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 4? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 39.0% 95.0% $1.1K Apr 04, 2026
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 2? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 32.0% 87.0% $1.0K Apr 02, 2026
Highest temperature in NYC on April 4? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 78.0% 34.0% $1.0K Apr 04, 2026
Highest temperature in Houston on April 2? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 33.0% 76.0% $973 Apr 02, 2026
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 3? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 40.0% 64.0% $970 Apr 03, 2026
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 2? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 46.0% 70.0% $908 Apr 02, 2026
Highest temperature in Paris on April 2? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 39.0% 65.0% $902 Apr 02, 2026
Highest temperature in Austin on April 1? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 38.0% 67.0% $875 Apr 01, 2026
Highest temperature in Houston on April 4? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 33.0% 87.0% $871 Apr 04, 2026
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 4? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 30.0% 83.0% $788 Apr 04, 2026
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 4? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 32.0% 73.0% $782 Apr 04, 2026
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 3? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 38.0% 97.0% $729 Apr 03, 2026
Highest temperature in Paris on April 3? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 49.0% 86.0% $707 Apr 03, 2026
Highest temperature in Munich on April 2? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 34.0% 74.0% $704 Apr 02, 2026
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 2? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 34.0% 94.0% $651 Apr 02, 2026
Highest temperature in Denver on April 3? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 49.0% 87.0% $615 Apr 03, 2026
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 4? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 31.0% 75.0% $601 Apr 04, 2026
How many Tornadoes in the US in April? (9 outcomes) Climate & science 73.0% 93.0% $515 May 10, 2026
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 4? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 43.0% 91.0% $506 Apr 04, 2026
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 3? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 33.0% 94.0% $486 Apr 03, 2026
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 3? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 33.0% 87.0% $378 Apr 03, 2026
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 4? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 32.0% 86.0% $327 Apr 04, 2026
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 4? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 33.0% 91.0% $326 Apr 04, 2026
Highest temperature in Austin on April 3? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 34.0% 85.0% $323 Apr 03, 2026
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 4? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 45.0% 74.0% $299 Apr 04, 2026
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 4? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 74.0% 85.0% $208 Apr 04, 2026
Highest temperature in Denver on April 4? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 40.0% 96.0% $140 Apr 04, 2026
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 3? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 32.0% 94.0% $55 Apr 03, 2026
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 2? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 32.0% 98.0% $45 Apr 02, 2026
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 3? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 38.0% 98.0% $41 Apr 03, 2026
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 4? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 40.0% 97.0% $36 Apr 04, 2026
Highest temperature in Austin on April 4? (11 outcomes) Climate & science 52.0% 96.0% $36 Apr 04, 2026
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31? Climate & science 13.0% 92.0% $0 Dec 31, 2026
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? Climate & science 6.8% 94.8% $0 Dec 31, 2026
About Prediction Markets

Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of future events. Buy Yes shares if you think an event will happen, or No shares if you think it won't. Prices range from $0 to $1, reflecting the market's probability estimate. When the event resolves, winning shares pay out $1 each.

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